Post by bowtothebill23 on Jun 8, 2014 22:42:11 GMT -6
What's up everyone? This season is coming to a close and being the owner of the Warriors, I obviously would like for him to win MVP. This is my reasoning for why Kemp is the clear MVP. Enjoy!
As we come to the end of the season, the general feeling around the league is that David Robinson is the CLEAR MVP with Kemp in second. At first glance, that looks correct. DROB leads the NBA in scoring, is 5th in rebounds, and 3rd in blocks. But after reading this, I think you'll realize Kemp is the clear MVP and if he isn't MVP, I suggest we vote for MVP. This article will be done in question and answer form.
David Robinson is scoring 30.4 points per game, 1.4 more than Kemp. How can you justify Kemp being a better scorer?
Good question. While David Robinson is scoring more per game, he is playing more minutes. David Robinson is playing 2.4 more minutes per game. While that may not sound like a lot, when these guys are scoring almost a point per minute, every minute counts. Per 36, while not a perfect stat, fits here since these guys play so closely together. Kemp scores 29.91 points per 36 minutes while David Robinson scores 29.34. Still think that minutes difference is meaningless?
Ok so Kemp is scoring more per 36, what if he's just taking more shots? And what if David Robinson is scoring more efficiently?
Another great question. Unfortunately, both of those swing in Kemp's favor. In games, David Robinson shoots about 3.5 more shots per game. Keeping with the theme, even in per 36, David Robinson still takes 2.1 more shots per game. Looking at usage rates, David Robinson has a usage rate of 30.9, while Kemp has a usage rate of 28.2, so David Robinson is shooting more and scoring less. Looking at efficiency, David Robinson has a 54.7% FG%, 71.4% FT%, and 59.6% TS%. Great stats, but when compared to Kemp's 58.2% FG%, 75.4% FT%, and 64.5% TS%, Robinson's efficiency numbers are dwarfed.
Ok. So maybe Kemp is a better scorer, what about rebounding?
This again goes into Kemp's column. This is Kemp's strongest point over Robinson. Even with simple raw stats, Kemp leads the league with 11.3 boards per game while Robinson is 5th with 10.1. When looking at the per 36, Kemp's lead widens. Kemp averages 11.66 boards per 36 compared to Robinson's 9.75. Looking at rebound rates, Kemp has an insane rebound rate of 18.6 (highest in the league) while Robinson has one of 15.6.
But Kemp has no other rebounders on his team. And Robinson has a great rebounder in Tarpley on his team. Of course Robinson won't rebound as much.
Good point. But let's go back to rates. Kemp's center has a rebound rate of 13.6. Tarpley has a rebound rate of 16.2. So let's pretend Tarpley's rate was 13.6 and all those rebounds Tarpley loses somehow went to Robinson. Even then, Robinson's rate would be only 18.2, still .4% below Kemp's spectacular rate. So rebounding will fall in Kemp's favor.
Well Robinson is a better blocker. Can't deny that. He's averaging .4 more blocks per game.
There's basically Robinson's one and only advantage over Kemp. And at that, it's not a very large one. Looking at their per 36s, Kemp blocks 2.79 shots compared to Robinson's 2.99. So that difference would be only .2, which doesn't come close to making up for the other stats Kemp has over Robinson.
Ok so anything else?
That's all the main points, but there are some other small advantages Kemp still has over Robinson. Kemp has an assist rate of 8.1 compared to Robinson's 6.9 assist rate. Each have turnover rates of 9.2. Kemp's assist to turnover ratio is .88 which is better than DRob's .74. Kemp's PER is 37.2 which is vastly better than Robinson's PER of 34.1. Other advanced statistics like value added and Estimated wins added (which looks at how much a player has contributed total to a team), Kemp beats Robinson in both (which works because they each have played 73 games). So despite playing less time than Robinson, Kemp has contributed more.
That's all we have. Looking at these stats, it's clear (at least to the homer in me) who should be MVP. Who's the MVP in your mind? Thanks for reading.
