Post by Soundwave on Mar 17, 2014 16:30:25 GMT -6
Let us begin by reviewing year 2:
You're gonna get the Cliff Notes version now
Offense:
8 of top 10 in points scored made playoffs. None of the bottom 7. Champs were 1. 2,5,6 rounded out the final 4
Offensive Efficiency:
All top 10 made playoffs. 7 of top 8 advanced past round 1. Final 4 were 1,2,5,7.
NO ONE LOWER THAN 21 MADE PLAYOFFS
Offense is still king in this league.
Defense:
9 of top 10 in points allowed made playoffs. only 3 of bottom 10 made it.
Defensive Efficiency:
Much stronger than last season. 9 of top 10, and 13 of top 14 made playoffs. Very Strong.
NO ONE RANKED LOWER THAN 20 MADE IT.
3 teams ranked 10-17 made it out of first round.
Pretty strong indicator, but not same as offensive efficiency.
Pace!
Scattered all over the place as far as playoffs are concerned. But 3 of fastest 4 teams were in final 4.
Rebounds
Total Rebounds:
7 of top 10 made playoffs, none of bottom 8. Final 4 was 6,7,13,15.
Rebound %:
7 of top 10 made playoffs but so did teams ranked as low as 21 and 23. 2,5,15,17 were final 4.
Offensive Rebound %
8 of top 10 made playoffs.
Final 4 = 5,6,18,23
Strongest of all rebound indicators (more on this later)
Defensive rebound %
7 of top 10 made it.
so did teams at 19,20, 22 & 24 out of 29
Not as strong as indicator as other stats (Would love reader theories as to why.)
Assist & Turnovers
Assists:
8 of top 10 made it. Only 2 lower than 20. Final 4 was 4,5,8,11.
Pretty strong stat. Passing does help.
Turnover %:
Mean Nothing. Final 4 were ranked outside of top 10 and as low as 28.
We do not take advantage of teams mistakes as much as we would think.
3 POINTERS
Only 3 of top 10 in 3PA made playoffs. NOT GOOD. Half of last season.
Only 1 of top 10 got out of 1st round.
3P%
7 of top 10 made playoffs. but so did # 27 and 29.
Not a very strong indicator;
but put together with the 3PA stats we can conclude that taking a lot of 3's is not good (teams playing from behind) but hitting the few 3's you take at a higher % helps.
Conclusions:
Scoring Efficiently is still the best indicator of playoff success, but defense is catching up an cannot be ignored. Still a game won and lost in the paint (shooting there and defending the rim). This is why I believe offensive rebounds are a much stronger stat than any other rebounding #.
Offense Still Rules.
This past season 8 of the top 10 in points scored made the playoffs. (80%)
That is one more team than last season. (I have a feeling we will see a difference in Defense as well, more to come)
9 of the top 10 in offensive efficiency made it to the dance. (90%) Same as last year
Only 2 of the bottom 10 in OE made it
None of the bottom 8.
The final 4 consisted of #'s 2,4,12,14. More spread out than last season.
The East teams were 2 and 4. Perhaps it didn't matter who made it to the finals, the East were favored?
Defense Doesn't Matter as Much?
6 of the top 10 in points Allowed made it.
That's 60% this season to 80% last season.
8 of top 10 in Defensive Efficiency made it.
That is the same as last season.
5 of the bottom 7 in Points Allowed made the Playoffs
Only 1 of the bottom 7 in Defensive Efficiency made it. (Lakers)
Teams from all over made it out of the first round so it is not as structured as last season, drawing me to the following conclusion.......
Defense did not seem to be as big of a factor this season as the last. The final 4 were ranked 1,3,14,15. Although 1 and 3 did reach the finals. This gives some weight to it being important, but still not as important as offense.
Pace!!
8 of the fastest 10 made it to the playoffs. Only 2 of the bottom 6 made it. Although the #22, & 28th ranked teams were the finalists, beating the #2 & #4 ranked teams. This is a bit different than last season, but the end result is very similar.
Just like we all would have thought, fun & gun will get you there but SLOE wins the race.
Boards!
Rebound %
- 7 of top 10 made the playoffs.
- Only 1 of the bottom 9 made it.
Offensive Rebound %
- Again, 7 of the top 10 made it
- 2 of the bottom 9 made it
Defensive Rebound %
- And again 7 of the top 10 made it.
- NONE of the bottom 6
Rebounds are important!
Turnovers and Assists.
- 8 of top 10 in Turnovers made it.
- Only 1 of bottom 8 made it. (Of course the 2-time world champs)
- 6 of top 10 in Assists made it. (Not a strong stat)
- 3 of bottom 7 made it.
NEW!
3 POINTERS!!!!!
For the purposes here, I will be looking at 3PA and 3P%. My theory is that it will not be a good thing to shoot plenty of 3 pointers, but it will be better to make a good % of them.
3PA
- 6 of the top 10 made it. Only 2 made it out of the first round.
- 5 of the bottom 7 made it. 3 of which were in final 4.
- In season 1, only 5 of top 10 made it. 7 of the bottom 8 made it.
3P%
- 6 of top 10 made it. That's 1 more than season 1
- 5 of the bottom 7 made it, same as season 1.
- 3 of which were in final 4.
Well, I was right and wrong. This is not the current NBA. Shooting 3's is not a very good thing and very surprisingly % doesn't seem to matter much.
Final Conclusion:
This is still an inside game. It is won in the paint.
Scoring plenty will get you to the dance, but scoring efficiently will win it all.
This past season 8 of the top 10 in points scored made the playoffs. (80%)
That is one more team than last season. (I have a feeling we will see a difference in Defense as well, more to come)
9 of the top 10 in offensive efficiency made it to the dance. (90%) Same as last year
Only 2 of the bottom 10 in OE made it
None of the bottom 8.
The final 4 consisted of #'s 2,4,12,14. More spread out than last season.
The East teams were 2 and 4. Perhaps it didn't matter who made it to the finals, the East were favored?
Defense Doesn't Matter as Much?
6 of the top 10 in points Allowed made it.
That's 60% this season to 80% last season.
8 of top 10 in Defensive Efficiency made it.
That is the same as last season.
5 of the bottom 7 in Points Allowed made the Playoffs
Only 1 of the bottom 7 in Defensive Efficiency made it. (Lakers)
Teams from all over made it out of the first round so it is not as structured as last season, drawing me to the following conclusion.......
Defense did not seem to be as big of a factor this season as the last. The final 4 were ranked 1,3,14,15. Although 1 and 3 did reach the finals. This gives some weight to it being important, but still not as important as offense.
Pace!!
8 of the fastest 10 made it to the playoffs. Only 2 of the bottom 6 made it. Although the #22, & 28th ranked teams were the finalists, beating the #2 & #4 ranked teams. This is a bit different than last season, but the end result is very similar.
Just like we all would have thought, fun & gun will get you there but SLOE wins the race.
Boards!
Rebound %
- 7 of top 10 made the playoffs.
- Only 1 of the bottom 9 made it.
Offensive Rebound %
- Again, 7 of the top 10 made it
- 2 of the bottom 9 made it
Defensive Rebound %
- And again 7 of the top 10 made it.
- NONE of the bottom 6
Rebounds are important!
Turnovers and Assists.
- 8 of top 10 in Turnovers made it.
- Only 1 of bottom 8 made it. (Of course the 2-time world champs)
- 6 of top 10 in Assists made it. (Not a strong stat)
- 3 of bottom 7 made it.
NEW!
3 POINTERS!!!!!
For the purposes here, I will be looking at 3PA and 3P%. My theory is that it will not be a good thing to shoot plenty of 3 pointers, but it will be better to make a good % of them.
3PA
- 6 of the top 10 made it. Only 2 made it out of the first round.
- 5 of the bottom 7 made it. 3 of which were in final 4.
- In season 1, only 5 of top 10 made it. 7 of the bottom 8 made it.
3P%
- 6 of top 10 made it. That's 1 more than season 1
- 5 of the bottom 7 made it, same as season 1.
- 3 of which were in final 4.
Well, I was right and wrong. This is not the current NBA. Shooting 3's is not a very good thing and very surprisingly % doesn't seem to matter much.
Final Conclusion:
This is still an inside game. It is won in the paint.
Scoring plenty will get you to the dance, but scoring efficiently will win it all.
You're gonna get the Cliff Notes version now
Offense:
8 of top 10 in points scored made playoffs. None of the bottom 7. Champs were 1. 2,5,6 rounded out the final 4
Offensive Efficiency:
All top 10 made playoffs. 7 of top 8 advanced past round 1. Final 4 were 1,2,5,7.
NO ONE LOWER THAN 21 MADE PLAYOFFS
Offense is still king in this league.
Defense:
9 of top 10 in points allowed made playoffs. only 3 of bottom 10 made it.
Defensive Efficiency:
Much stronger than last season. 9 of top 10, and 13 of top 14 made playoffs. Very Strong.
NO ONE RANKED LOWER THAN 20 MADE IT.
3 teams ranked 10-17 made it out of first round.
Pretty strong indicator, but not same as offensive efficiency.
Pace!
Scattered all over the place as far as playoffs are concerned. But 3 of fastest 4 teams were in final 4.
Rebounds
Total Rebounds:
7 of top 10 made playoffs, none of bottom 8. Final 4 was 6,7,13,15.
Rebound %:
7 of top 10 made playoffs but so did teams ranked as low as 21 and 23. 2,5,15,17 were final 4.
Offensive Rebound %
8 of top 10 made playoffs.
Final 4 = 5,6,18,23
Strongest of all rebound indicators (more on this later)
Defensive rebound %
7 of top 10 made it.
so did teams at 19,20, 22 & 24 out of 29
Not as strong as indicator as other stats (Would love reader theories as to why.)
Assist & Turnovers
Assists:
8 of top 10 made it. Only 2 lower than 20. Final 4 was 4,5,8,11.
Pretty strong stat. Passing does help.
Turnover %:
Mean Nothing. Final 4 were ranked outside of top 10 and as low as 28.
We do not take advantage of teams mistakes as much as we would think.
3 POINTERS
Only 3 of top 10 in 3PA made playoffs. NOT GOOD. Half of last season.
Only 1 of top 10 got out of 1st round.
3P%
7 of top 10 made playoffs. but so did # 27 and 29.
Not a very strong indicator;
but put together with the 3PA stats we can conclude that taking a lot of 3's is not good (teams playing from behind) but hitting the few 3's you take at a higher % helps.
Conclusions:
Scoring Efficiently is still the best indicator of playoff success, but defense is catching up an cannot be ignored. Still a game won and lost in the paint (shooting there and defending the rim). This is why I believe offensive rebounds are a much stronger stat than any other rebounding #.
